Demos
Hands-on front ends for the platforms behind the research. Try the methods before you read the math.
Fraud & freight finance
F4
Fund, verify or decline a factored freight invoice: expected dollars per action, plus a synthetic portfolio with fraud rings planted in it.
Causal inference
PyCausalSim
Discover a causal graph from data and see how far the naive correlation is from the real effect of speeding up a page.
Marketing mix modeling
Papilon
See what each marketing channel really returns, with honest uncertainty, and plan a weekly budget against a simulation where the true answer is known.
Healthcare analytics
Causal Care
A readmission program that looks harmful until you adjust for who got enrolled, and why calling the patients who benefit most beats calling the highest-risk ones.
Healthcare analytics
Clinical Alert Math
Why a model with a strong AUC can still bury nurses in false alarms: alerts per day, false alarms per real case and missed cases, from the same four numbers.
Energy & grid economics
Large-Load Tariff Calculator
A utility builds $600 million of grid for a data center that leaves after eight years. How much lands on household bills, with and without minimum bills, exit fees and collateral?
AI agentic solutions
Agent Reliability Calculator
Why a 95%-accurate agent fails most 20-step tasks, and what a verifier, retries and human escalation do to success rates and cost per completed task.
AI infrastructure
Inference Cost Calculator
Self-hosting an LLM costs $10.42 or $1.49 per million tokens on the same hardware. The difference is utilization; find your break-even against API pricing.
SEO, AEO & GEO
Meaning-Flow
Paste your page titles and your audience's questions to see which demand your content covers, and which questions search and AI answer engines can't find you for.
SEO
SEO Split Test Planner
Run a simulated SEO split test, read the lift with an honest confidence interval, and find out how many pages and weeks you need before a real change is detectable.
Commodities & LNG
LNG Voyage Economics
Where should a US Gulf LNG cargo go? Charter days, boil-off, canal fees and the netback to Europe or Asia, by route, with your own prices.
Professional & back-office services
Reconciliation Auto-Match
Match a month of ledger entries to the bank statement, see what lands in the exception queue, and find out how many auto-matches are actually wrong.
AI strategy & economics
AI Pilot ROI
Three common ways to measure an AI pilot, side by side on data where the true effect is known, and what each one would tell your CFO about ROI.
Engineering & manufacturing
Machine-Vision Inspection
Tune an AI inspection camera's sensitivity and see the tradeoff between defects that escape to customers and good parts thrown away, with and without a person reviewing flags.
Public policy & regional economy
Where AI Pays Off First (Kansas City)
How many months until you can prove an AI use case worked? Sixteen use cases across eight Kansas City industries, with every input editable, plus payback once you count captured savings.
AI agentic solutions
Causal-OS
A causal decision layer for AI agents and operators.
Live demo coming soon
Commodities & LNG
CarryNet
Arbitrage-free neural networks for commodity futures.
Live demo coming soon · Code
Forecasting & simulation
Canary
Architecture for a universal emergence detection system.
Live demo coming soon · Code