Kansas City · AI, Causal Inference & Forecasting

Research : Theory : Application

Independent AI and machine-learning research that turns rigorous math into decisions businesses can act on.

About Vector 1

Research That Holds Up in Production

Vector 1 is a Kansas City research and advisory practice led by Brian Curry. We build causal models, forecasts and simulations that explain why things happen, not just what happened. Every method we use is published, tested and open to scrutiny.

What We Do

Causal Inference & Marketing Mix

Measure what actually drives revenue, not what merely correlates with it. Bayesian MMM, uplift and causal discovery.

Forecasting & Simulation

Monte Carlo and causal simulation for demand, energy, capacity and risk, with honest backtests.

AI Strategy & Economics

Where AI pays off first, what it really costs, and how to deploy it without the hype.

AI Agentic Solutions

Agents that plan, act and check their own work: tool use, memory and evaluation, built to hold up in production.

Healthcare Analytics

Early-warning models for sepsis, deterioration and stroke, plus ED and hospital capacity forecasting.

Energy & Grid Economics

Large-load tariffs, flexible demand and distributed compute: the math of powering AI.

Open-Source Tools

PyCausalSim and Papilon: the causal simulation and modeling libraries behind our research, free to use.

Latest Research

All 346 articles →

Contact

Let's talk about your problem

Tell us what you're trying to measure, forecast or decide. We work with teams in Kansas City and remotely, and we reply within two business days.

Email TODO-contact@vector1.ai

Or connect on LinkedIn.

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